Prediction Updated: Monday June 9, 2025
| SIMULATION RESULTS | ||
|---|---|---|
|
Light Heavyweight
Magomed Ankalaev 45 |
WIN PROBABILITY Percent chance each fighter has to win |
Light Heavyweight
Alex Pereira 55 |
| RATINGS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A+ | 99 | Performance | 98 | A+ |
| A+ | 98 | Power | 99 | A+ |
|
A+
|
99
|
Offensive |
98
|
A+
|
|
A-
|
93
|
Defensive |
98
|
A+
|
| RANKINGS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Performance | 2 |
| 2 | Power | 1 |
| 1 | Offensive | 2 |
| 8 | Defensive | 2 |
| RECORDS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 (92.3%) | Overall | 9-2 (81.8%) |
| 1-0 (100%) | Versus Current Top 10 | 3-1 (75%) |
| 7-1 (87.5%) | Versus > .500 Fighters | 7-2 (77.8%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Versus < .500 Fighters | 2-0 (100%) |
| 5-0 (100%) | Last 5 Fights | 4-1 (80%) |
| SUPERLATIVES | ||
|---|---|---|
| Light Heavyweight #2 Alex Pereira (9-2) 2025-03-08 UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev Round 5 U-DEC | Best Win | Middleweight #6 Sean Strickland (16-6) 2022-07-02 UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Round 1 KO/TKO Punches |
| Light Heavyweight #49 Paul Craig (9-9) 2018-03-17 UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov Round 3 SUB Triangle Choke | Worst Loss | Middleweight #16 Israel Adesanya (13-5) 2023-04-08 UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 Round 2 KO/TKO Punch |
| OTHER STATISTICS | ||
|---|---|---|
| 6 (46.2%) | Finishes | 7 (63.6%) |
| 6 (46.2%) | KOs | 7 (63.6%) |
| 0 (0%) | Submissions | 0 (0%) |
| 6 (46.2%) | Decisions | 2 (18.2%) |
| 119-106 | Opponent Record | 97-49 |
| 24.5 | Average Opponent Rank | 16.8 |
| W 12 | Long Streak | W 5 |
| W 12 | Current Streak | L 1 |
| LAST 5 FIGHTS | ||
|---|---|---|
| W 2025-03-08 Light Heavyweight #2 Alex Pereira (9-2) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev |
L 2025-03-08 Light Heavyweight #1 Magomed Ankalaev (12-1) Round 5 U-DEC UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev |
|
| W 2024-10-26 Light Heavyweight #28 Aleksandar Rakic (6-4) Round 3 U-DEC UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway |
W 2024-10-05 Light Heavyweight #13 Khalil Rountree Jr. (9-7) Round 4 KO/TKO Punch UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. |
|
| W 2024-01-13 Light Heavyweight #22 Johnny Walker (7-6) Round 2 KO/TKO Punch UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 |
W 2024-06-29 Light Heavyweight #7 Jiri Prochazka (5-2) Round 2 KO/TKO Kick UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 |
|
| - 2023-10-21 Light Heavyweight #22 Johnny Walker (7-6) Round 1 CNC UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 |
W 2024-04-13 Light Heavyweight #16 Jamahal Hill (7-3) Round 1 KO/TKO Punch UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill |
|
| - 2022-12-10 Light Heavyweight #18 Jan Blachowicz (12-8) Round 5 S-DEC UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev |
W 2023-11-11 Light Heavyweight #7 Jiri Prochazka (5-2) Round 2 KO/TKO Elbows UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira |